Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.005894 0.006552 0.007268 0.008106 0.009063 0.010125 0.011397
2025-06-22 0.004968 0.005897 0.006990 0.008381 0.010119 0.012239 0.015049
2025-06-29 0.004274 0.005287 0.006541 0.008227 0.010465 0.013376 0.017522
2025-07-06 0.003770 0.004816 0.006163 0.008055 0.010691 0.014310 0.019784
2025-07-13 0.003438 0.004514 0.005949 0.008042 0.011089 0.015477 0.022495
2025-07-20 0.003237 0.004359 0.005903 0.008237 0.011776 0.017116 0.026136
2025-07-27 0.002991 0.004114 0.005700 0.008171 0.012052 0.018148 0.028953
2025-08-03 0.002799 0.003925 0.005554 0.008166 0.012407 0.019329 0.032187
2025-08-10 0.002609 0.003722 0.005367 0.008071 0.012595 0.020245 0.035081
2025-08-17 0.002475 0.003589 0.005273 0.008110 0.013002 0.021571 0.038946
2025-08-24 0.002324 0.003419 0.005105 0.008009 0.013149 0.022444 0.042065
2025-08-31 0.002159 0.003215 0.004868 0.007767 0.013019 0.022783 0.044139
2025-09-07 0.002055 0.003107 0.004784 0.007797 0.013413 0.024224 0.048975
2025-09-14 0.002002 0.003078 0.004832 0.008064 0.014289 0.026763 0.056876
2025-09-21 0.001881 0.002927 0.004660 0.007917 0.014343 0.027620 0.061009
2025-09-28 0.001768 0.002783 0.004488 0.007753 0.014343 0.028357 0.065008
2025-10-05 0.001689 0.002691 0.004402 0.007741 0.014649 0.029810 0.071218
2025-10-12 0.001647 0.002660 0.004419 0.007927 0.015391 0.032370 0.081134
2025-10-19 0.001572 0.002565 0.004314 0.007863 0.015586 0.033669 0.087784
2025-10-26 0.001510 0.002491 0.004242 0.007859 0.015909 0.035333 0.096020
2025-11-02 0.001442 0.002401 0.004134 0.007768 0.016024 0.036486 0.102971
2025-11-09 0.001395 0.002346 0.004089 0.007806 0.016443 0.038504 0.113445
2025-11-16 0.001335 0.002264 0.003985 0.007709 0.016527 0.039635 0.121192